e-ISSN : 0975-3397
Print ISSN : 2229-5631
Home | About Us | Contact Us

ARTICLES IN PRESS

Articles in Press

ISSUES

Current Issue
Archives

CALL FOR PAPERS

CFP 2021

TOPICS

IJCSE Topics

EDITORIAL BOARD

Editors

Indexed in

oa
 

ABSTRACT

Title : Schedule Risk Analysis Simulator using Beta Distribution
Authors : Isha Sharma, Dr. P.K. Suri
Keywords : SPM; Activity Network; Critical Activities; Critical Path; CPM; PERT; Simulation
Issue Date : June 2011
Abstract :
This paper describes an application of simulation and Modelling in Software risk management. This paper describes a simulation based software risk management tool which helps manager to identify high risk areas of software process. In this paper an endeavour has been made to build up a Stochastic Simulator which helps in decision making to identify the critical activities which are given due priorities during the development of Software Project. In response to new information or revised estimates, it may be necessary to reassign resources, cancel optional tasks, etc. Project management tools that make projections while treating decisions about tasks and resource assignments as static will not yield realistic results. The usual PERT procedure may lead to overly optimistic results as many pass which are not critical but slightly shorter than critical on the basis of estimated activity duration or average durations. Due to randomness of durations, these pass under some combination of activity durations, could become longer than the average longest path. Such paths would be ignored while using the PERT technique on the basis of the average durations. In order to overcome this problem and be more reasonable, the said Stochastic Simulator has been designed by generating random samples from a specific probability distribution associated with that particular activity of SPM. The said simulator is also not bugged with overly estimated results.
Page(s) : 2408-2414
ISSN : 0975–3397
Source : Vol. 3, Issue.6

All Rights Reserved © 2009-2024 Engg Journals Publications
Page copy protected against web site content infringement by CopyscapeCreative Commons License